Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000707 0.000808 0.000916 0.001039 0.001174 0.001319 0.001483
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000548 0.000689 0.000849 0.001044 0.001271 0.001528 0.001837
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000450 0.000605 0.000789 0.001022 0.001305 0.001636 0.002048
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000373 0.000532 0.000732 0.000993 0.001323 0.001720 0.002228
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000323 0.000488 0.000701 0.000990 0.001366 0.001829 0.002435
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000283 0.000450 0.000674 0.000988 0.001405 0.001932 0.002636
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000246 0.000412 0.000642 0.000974 0.001427 0.002010 0.002803
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000213 0.000375 0.000607 0.000953 0.001436 0.002070 0.002947
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000196 0.000360 0.000603 0.000972 0.001498 0.002200 0.003185
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000180 0.000345 0.000597 0.000987 0.001555 0.002324 0.003415
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000158 0.000318 0.000570 0.000970 0.001564 0.002381 0.003558
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000139 0.000293 0.000544 0.000952 0.001570 0.002433 0.003692
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000125 0.000277 0.000531 0.000954 0.001606 0.002530 0.003894
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000264 0.000523 0.000964 0.001653 0.002644 0.004121
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000242 0.000497 0.000942 0.001651 0.002685 0.004247
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000220 0.000469 0.000915 0.001640 0.002713 0.004353
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000208 0.000457 0.000912 0.001665 0.002794 0.004536
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000196 0.000445 0.000910 0.001690 0.002874 0.004720
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000182 0.000428 0.000897 0.001697 0.002927 0.004863
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000167 0.000408 0.000877 0.001693 0.002961 0.004979
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000164 0.000408 0.000895 0.001750 0.003092 0.005241
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000159 0.000408 0.000910 0.001802 0.003216 0.005494
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000147 0.000391 0.000894 0.001802 0.003256 0.005622